Warriors vs. Lakers prediction, odds, spread: 2022 NBA picks, opening night best bets from proven model

Two of the past three champions meet up during 2022 NBA opening night on Tuesday when LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers travel to San Francisco to take on Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors. Golden State will raise the banner for its 2021-22 NBA title, while the Lakers were the champions of the 2019-20 season. Golden State is the co-favorite at Caesars Sportsbook with the Boston Celtics to repeat this season, while Los Angeles is viewed as a much longer shot after going 33-49 last season and missing the postseason.

Tip-off at Chase Center is set for 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State at -7 in the latest Warriors vs. Lakers odds. The over/under for total points is set for 225. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model went a stunning 88-60 on all top-rated NBA picks last season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Lakers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Lakers vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Lakers spread: Warriors -7
  • Warriors vs. Lakers over/under: 225 points
  • Warriors vs. Lakers money line: Warriors -305, Lakers +240
  • LAL: The Lakers were 18-23 against the spread in 2021-22 road games
  • GSW: The Warriors were 32-19-2 against the spread in 2021-22 home games
  • Warriors vs. Lakers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have one of the best lead pairings in the NBA with James and Anthony Davis. James, an 18-time All-NBA selection, is still operating at the top of the sport, averaging 30.3 points, 8.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game last season while shooting 52.4% from the field. Davis missed approximately half the season with injury, but the talented big man produced 23.2 points, 9.9 rebound  and 2.3 blocks per game. 

James and Davis form the foundation of a team that won the title less than three years ago, and the Lakers were in the top 10 of the NBA in field goal percentage, 2-point percentage and free throw creation last season. Los Angeles has improved its supporting cast in the offseason, and the Lakers are opportunistic on defense, posting above-average steal and block rates on the way to 14.0 turnovers created per game in 2021-22. Golden State finished with the league’s second-worst turnover rate (15.0%) on offense, and the Lakers may be able to create havoc.

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has one of the most impressive blends of veteran and young talent in the league. Curry and Klay Thompson form one of the most feared shooting duos in NBA history and they’re both still playing at an extremely high level in their 30s. Jordan Poole was a breakout star for the Warriors last season as the now 23-year old averaged 18.5 points per game. Recent lottery picks Jonathan Kuminga and Moses Moody are both ready to step into larger roles this season.

Despite regularly being listed as a substantial favorite, Golden State was still a very profitable team to bet on last season. The Warriors went 54-46-4 with that 54% cover rate ranking ninth in the league. The Lakers, meanwhile, were substantially overvalued last season, covering just 42.7% of the time. 

How to make Lakers vs. Warriors picks

The model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 221 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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